Gotham Stakes attracts 10 three-year-olds

Horseracing Betting Lines

03/03/2010 - Ozone Park, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A field of 10 Kentucky Derby hopefuls has been entered for Saturday's $250,000 Gotham Stakes at Aqueduct. The 1 1/16- mile Gotham is the final local prep before the $750,000 Wood Memorial on April 3.

Topping the field of three-year-olds is Whirlaway Stakes winner Peppi Knows. Trained by Timothy Kreiser, the gelding will start from post six with Richard Migliore back to ride.

Peppi Knows, owned by Philip Messina, is the winner of four of six lifetime starts for $178,400. As a two-year-old last year he won his first two starts at Penn National and closed 2009 in the Remsen with a second behind Buddy's Saint in November.

Whirlaway runner-up Afleet Again has drawn post nine with Kendrick Carmouche picking up the mount. The son of Afleet Alex is owned by Cash is King Stable and trained by Robert Reid.

"He's proven he likes the inner track," said Reid. "We'd like a longer race, the further, the better for him. He's a big, bulky horse and once he gets rolling you don't want to have him check, or go wide, or anything like that."

Afleet Again did not break his maiden until the fourth start and then finished fifth in the Count Fleet at Aqueduct on January 2. He won an allowance race at Philadelphia Park before the Whirlaway.

The gray gelding has eight starts with two wins and $86,950.

Three Day Rush, third in the Whirlaway, is trainer Todd Pletcher's only starter in the Gotham. Owned by Starlight Partners, the colt will leave from the inside post with Fernando Jara in the saddle.

Three Day Rush won the $200,000 Monmouth Park NATC Futurity last September and was fifth in the Iroquois at Churchill Downs in November. Overall the colt has earned $171,468 in seven career starts.

Here is the complete field for the Gotham in post position order: Three Day Rush, Fernando Jara; Yawanna Twist, Edgar Prado; Nacho Friend, Joe Bravo; Awesome Act, Julien Leparoux; I've Got the Fever, Channing Hill; Peppi Knows, Richard Migliore; Shrimp Dancer, C.C. Lopez; Turf Melody, Ramon Dominguez; Afleet Again, Kendrick Carmouche and Wow Wow Wow, Corey Nakatani.

The Gotham has a scheduled post-time of 5:12 p.m. (et).

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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